BIG MARLEY’S UFC 231 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight card with two title struggles in Toronto, Canada. We’re back to using PPV sized competitions on DraftKings this week and there are a few strong GPPs to pursue this week. The most important GPP is a $10 entrance with $25,000 to 1st place. These are always my favorite contests to chase so I will be taking some shots in that. Other than that, I will stick to my 3-entry maximum & single entry GPPs. I’ll also be picking up H2Hs throughout the week and I will find a fantastic amount of play in games. With that said, here are a few plays I enjoy this week in Addition to my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Joanna Jedrzejczyk ($6,800)
JJ may be the easiest money game punt of time at $6.8k. The lineup for Fight Goes To Decision is now -195 and when we are getting 5-rounds out of JJ with the striking volume she puts out then we’ve got a good flooring there also and it doesn’t matter whether she wins or loses. At the price tag she allows you to pay up for some heavy favorites and when we could get 4 other spots to win using a ~40-point loss from JJ in our lineup then we will be sitting very pretty in our money games this weekend.
GPP drama of this week — Thiago Santos ($8,800)
Fight Does Not Go To Conclusion is presently lined at -495 for this battle. The most probable outcome is that somebody in this fight gets knocked out in 15-minutes. With that knock-out probably comes in least one 10-point knock down. If that may be in the 1st round, then you’re already at 100-points even if it is just the 1st punch/kick of the night. At $8.8k that’s more than sufficient to offer you a chance at 1st place at a GPP. Thiago is your favorite in this fight and Manuwa is 38-years old today, so that he can not have much time in the match left. I believe we function together with the favorite here and throw him into our GPP lineups and await the fireworks.
Underdog drama of the week — Matthew Lopez ($7,300)
Matthew Lopez is my underdog of the week because of his wrestling/grappling potential. I also believe he’s a live underdog here. Lopez dropped his last 2 fights by knockout, so that’s what I would be worried about most with him Brad Katona is most likely the better striker of the two but he has never knocked anybody out, so I believe we’ve got a good flooring here at $7.3k even if this struggle does stay standing since I don’t see Katona knocking Lopez out. I think Lopez is most likely the better wrestler of both though and I think he lands several takedowns in this battle and can win a choice using a wrestling-heavy game program. Lopez lands 3.13 takedowns per 15-minutes at a 57 percent accuracy, and if he is getting pieced up on the feet I’m certain that he will be going for even greater than that here. At $7.3k I believe Lopez makes for a good play in all formats and I think he gets a split decision win here as the street underdog.
Fade of this week — Katlyn Chookagian ($8,700)
I’m fading a few fighters this week personally, but the individual I never considered using was Katlyn Chookagian. It is not that I do not think she could win, since she for sure could, and I believe she does. However, I don’t see her paying off an $8.7k DK salary with a triumph. I think we would require a complete from her in this fight to get 10x that salary and I believe that’s very unlikely to happen. Or, she will need FightMetric to rely all her screams as significant strikes. The most Chookagian has scored in a UFC fight up to now in her career is 83 DK points and that has been contrary to Irene Aldana who sets a much greater pace than Jessica Eye does. Even if she could get 83-points here afterward that still wouldn’t be sufficient here to place her at the winning lineup in her 8.7k price tag. I think if you are making 20 or less lineups that Saturday you may safely fade Chookagian and when she gets a win it shouldn’t hurt much.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown each fight on the card and give my entire DraftKings analysis, as well as all my select forecasts, you’ll find that for just $7.99 on this link below:

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