This weekend, we have a 14-fight card in Brazil. DraftKings has some adequate competitions out there for this Fight Night card, and this is rare for these free ones. The main tourney is the $8 entry and pays $20k to 1st. That is the main GPP I will be pursuing this week. As always, I’m in the 3-entry max and single entry GPPs too. However, this week DraftKings includes two competitions for trips out to Vegas to see the McGregor vs Khabib fight. Fights all, hotel, and flight paid for. The floor chairs competition is a $33 entrance and the non-floor seats contest is only a $15 entrance. I am going to need to take a few shots in that as well. Also, DraftKings simply released a contest for UFC 299 that’s a $10 entry having a massive $100,000 to 1st place. That is unquestionably the biggest prize we’ve ever seen in DFS MMA, so let us build a bankroll this weekend so we are able to shoot a few extra shots at that $100k. With that said, here are a few plays I enjoy this week in Addition to my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of this week — Livia Renata Souza ($9,600)
Livia Souza is your safest win on the card and I think she gets this fight ended early. That is where I’m starting my cash LUs weekly. Only give me the -1100 favorite who’s being fed up an easy win , for my money games. I really do like a great deal of the top favorites with this card, I simply are the most shocked if Souza lost. I think she’s good in both formats, but she will probably be chalky in GPPs, so cash games would be the ideal place to get your Souza investment nowadays. Take this win, and then find 3 others and you should be useful in cash games.
GPP play of this week — Charles Oliveira ($9,400)
I am a big Charles”Do Bronx” Oliveira enthusiast, and he’s some of my own favorites in UFC history. I think we could see another awesome one here. This fight appears to be easy to call. Do Bronx will look for the early takedown and if he can get it then he likely gets a 1st round sub. If that happens he should lock up a solid 100 points and I am pretty confident in being the outcome of this fight, so that’s why he’s my GPP drama of this week. He is also my GPP drama of this week, rather than my Cash play of this week for a motive. If he can’t get the takedown(s) early, then he’ll likely stop and get finished himself together with strikes. I really don’t enjoy that risk of a low floor because of my money LU, so I favor Souza there. However, in GPPs I like saving the $200 and moving down to perform Bronx.
Underdog play of the week — Eryk Anders ($7,600)
I’d like Anders more if he wasn’t carrying this fight on short notice, and if it was not in Brazil. However he does have a very clear route to victory here and that’s by knocking outside Santos who doesn’t possess a fantastic chin. Anders could also go for takedowns in this struggle and he could win with a few hard GNP too. At $7.6k he will almost surely end up on the winning LU when he’s ready to acquire the KO. This is the major event, so he’ll have 5 rounds to function with. I do think this is a good matchup for Anders, but he has to be competitive and never hang out to the exterior. If he hangs out to the exterior as long Santos will consume him up with kicks and it might be a brief night for Anders. I am going to select him to get the win here as an underdog in Brazil and I think he gets it completed in the first two rounds with a KO. This will easily pay off his $7.6k salary and it’ll win you a GPP if you’re able to get your additional five spots correct as well.
Fade of this week — Sam Alvey ($9,200)
Sam Alvey is always a fade for me. Last time I wrote him up as my fade of the week here, I was very wrong and that he scored over 100 points. If that happens again here, then so be it. But I refuse to rely on an early KO win to cover off a $9.2k salary from a man who doesn’t throw several strikes. At $9.2k I want at least 92 points from Alvey when I roll up him and the only way get caught that’s using a 1st round KO win. That could happen here against a 42-year-old Lil Nog, but I am not willing to invest my money in it.
If you’d like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown using investigation on every fight, my personal approaches & recommendations, and my pick outlook for every fight then it is possible to discover that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
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