This weekend, we have a 12-fight card in Minnesota. DraftKings has some strong contests for us to acquire a great deal of cash from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k belongs to 1st place with a total of $130k being paid out. In addition they possess a Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they will compete for a $50k first place cost and that $175k will probably be spread out between all 100 entries that match. There are just 14 more seats remaining so that there will not be much more time to qualify if you are attempting to. I will try to get my 3rd chair this week to max it if I could. Those Qualifier only competitions can be real bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those too hard. I’ll likely stick to the top GPP this week and then throw a handful of entries at the $25k prize, and then I will probably take a couple shots in the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to receive a good quantity of drama into cash games.
With that said, let’s get to a few plays I like this week along with my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of the week — Jared Gordon — $9,200
I enjoy Gordon to get the win this weekend and he will be a money match play of mine . There are better struggles to target if we are looking for 1st round knockouts however I’ll be focusing more on those in GPPs. I like the floor and the ceiling of Gordon here and that’s exactly why he is the money play of the week. I don’t think Moret has got the power to really test the chin of Gordon’s that has appeared to be his main weakness lately. With the pace Gordon sets I presume he has 100+ upside into a decision win and I really don’t see him getting finished here so he ought to have a good floor. I believe his flooring in a triumph is probably 80+ also that is completely fine for cash games. This is a catchy feeble, however this is my personal preferred money game place of the week.
GPP play of the week — Francis Ngannou — $8,800
I needed to go with Ngannou here. If he wins it is most likely a 1st round knockout. Which is +100 about the betting line. If he gets that 1st round KO, then he scores over 100 DK points and at his $8.8k salary which will place him on the 25k lineup. He will be very chalky this week though so make sure you load up on him if you are multi-entering if you would like to find leverage over the field. I really do think JDS is a live underdog here too, so I’ll be targeting both sides of this fight, but I do observe 100-105 DK points coming from Ngannou here and that can beat a lot of the fighters priced over him.
Underdog play of the week — Junior Albini — $8,000
I truly don’t love this card this week since I’m not picking any actual underdogs with any confidence. Albini is the only man who’d be regarded as an underdog I do believe will win and I did pick him outright and put 1u on him as my free bet of the week. On DraftKings we’re getting him $200 less than Greene but that I wouldn’t be shocked if Albini was the favored on the betting line moving into the fights. With these guys being Heavyweights, it does not take much to get a knockout and if Albini can do this at $8k he can give me a run in the optimal lineup.
Fade of the week — Emily Whitmire $8,500
I faded Whitmire in her previous fight also and she burnt me scoring a 1st round submission. I’m going back to the fade though and trusting the same does not happen. On a card where I am choosing basically each favorite, I’d rather select the fighters with 1st round knockout upside over Whitmire at her 8.5k price tag. I am not sure that moving into the ground is in her best interest in this fight and if she remains standing I do not see her paying off worth in a win. If I had been making 150 lineups this week then I would be taking some shots on Whitmire, however that I will probably only make ~20 and she will not make my player pool with that many lineups.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle on the card and provide my complete DraftKings analysis, as well as all of my pick predictions, you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are available at that link as well. I am 83-52 to get +251.89u (+$25,421) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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