After back-to-back Team Penske wins, NASCAR heads to ISM Raceway’s one-mile flat trail in Phoenix for the fourth race of the year.
Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano are riding streaks of eight top-12 endings dating back to last year, but both drivers are going to take a backseat to the recent dominating performances of Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch in Phoenix.
Harvick (9/4) and Busch (7/2) have the shortest chances to win Sunday’s TicketGuardian 500 and won at the track last season. This weekend, if Harvick were to triumph, he would join an elite group, becoming only the sixth driver in series history to win 10 or more Cup Series races in one track; linking Richard Petty, Darrell Waltrip, Jimmie Johnson, David Pearson and Dale Earnhardt.
In three of those previous four Phoenix races, Busch has headed 359 laps, including 117 in his triumph during last season’s playoffs — the first under the new arrangement of this track.
Phoenix’s monitor is similar to Richmond and New Hampshire and it’s no surprise both Harvick and Busch have experienced similar success at those racks. Busch has won the fall race at New Hampshire of 2017 and the previous two races in Richmond. Harvick won the most-recent race at New Hampshire and has finished in the top five in five of the previous six races at Richmond.
But unlike in these previous races, all drivers will use a new automobile installment executed by NASCAR, one different from that which we saw the last two weeks at Atlanta and Las Vegas. This season, teams will utilize a different-sized tapered spacer — and no aero ducts — for the first time. They will use a engine in Phoenix instead of their engine in Vegas. NASCAR expects to see a well-handling car using a faster response time on the throttle. The package that is new could close the gap Busch and Harvick have experienced on the field.
So much in two races with NASCAR differing rules bundle, Ford has led 65 percent of the laps and has five consecutive stage wins. Ford motorist Aric Almirola, Harvick’s teammate, will be a sleeper driver. He was third in New Hampshire’s similar design last season, fifth at Richmond and fourth last season’s fall race at Phoenix. Almirola is 20/1 to win on Sunday and we like him in a matchup with Kyle Larson at -110.
MORE: The way to win betting on NASCAR at 2019
Odds to win 2019 TicketGuardian 500 in Phoenix
Odds provided by Westgate LV SuperBook
Kevin HARVICK 9/4
Kyle BUSCH 7/2
Brad KESELOWSKI 7/1
Joey LOGANO 8/1
Martin TRUEX JR 10/1
Chase ELLIOTT 10/1
Denny HAMLIN 15/1
Kyle LARSON 20/1
Aric ALMIROLA 20/1
Clint BOWYER 25/1
Erik JONES 25/1
Kurt BUSCH 30/1
Ryan BLANEY 30/1
Jimmie JOHNSON 50/1
Austin DILLON 50/1
Alex BOWMAN 50/1
Ricky STENHOUSE JR 50/1
Daniel SUAREZ 60/1
Ryan NEWMAN 100/1
William BYRON 100/1
Daniel HEMRIC 100/1
Paul MENARD 100/1
Ryan PREECE 200/1
Chris BUESCHER 200/1
Matt DIBENEDETTO 200/1
Darrell WALLACE JR 500/1
Ty DILLON 1000/1
Michael McDOWELL 2000/1
David RAGAN 2000/1
FIELD (all others) 500/1
Read more: nflbettingguides.com
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